DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 8.1%. In comparison, on September 7, Clinton was predicted to win only 8.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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