DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 42.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.