DeSart model: Clinton in Utah trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 21.9% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will end up with 78.2%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 16.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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