DeSart model: Clinton in South Dakota trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 37.9% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 62.1%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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