DeSart model: Clinton in Montana trails by a clear margin

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.2% for Clinton, and 59.8% for Trump in Montana. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 59.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Montana. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Montana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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