The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.2% for Clinton, and 59.8% for Trump in Montana. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 59.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Montana. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Montana.