DeSart model: Clinton in Louisiana trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 38.4% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, while Trump will win 61.6%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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