The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 64.0%. In comparison, on September 7, Clinton was predicted to end up with 64.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.