DeSart model: Clinton in Alaska trails by a clear margin

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 39.9% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will end up with 60.1%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Alaska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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