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DeSart model: Clinton in Alabama trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 35.8% for Clinton, and 64.2% for Trump in Alabama. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 64.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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