News Journal/PublicMind poll in Delaware: Clinton with 10 points lead
News Journal/PublicMind released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Delaware were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
News Journal/PublicMind poll results
The results show that 42.0% of interviewees are going to cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 32.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from July 20 to July 24. A total of 715 registered voters responded.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 56.8% for Clinton and 43.2% for Trump.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Delaware. This means that Polly's prediction is 0.9 points above her polling numbers.