CBS News/YouGov poll in Georgia: Trump with 4 points lead

Results of a new poll conducted by CBS News/YouGov were distributed. The poll asked interviewees from Georgia for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Of those who replied, 41.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 45.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from August 10 to August 12. A total of 990 likely voters responded. The sampling error is +/-4.3 percentage points. This means that the poll results for the Democratic and the Republican candidate do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 47.7% for Clinton and 52.3% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Trump is currently at 50.9% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Georgia. Compared to his numbers in the CBS News/YouGov poll Trump's poll average is 1.4 percentage points worse. This difference is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 52.2% of the two-party vote in Georgia. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 0.1 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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