The Electoral-cycle model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 48.6% for Clinton, and 51.4% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 50.4%. In comparison to numbers in the Electoral-cycle model Trump's econometric model average is 1 percentage point lower.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 47.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Electoral-cycle model.