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Latest Keys to the White House index model: Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck

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The Keys to the White House model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.5% for Clinton, and 48.5% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be regarded with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other index models

If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 53.7%. This value is 2.2 percentage points higher than corresponding numbers in the Keys to the White House index model.

The Keys to the White House model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Keys to the White House model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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