Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.6% of the two-party vote. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.5 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% and Trump 47.4% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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