The Lewis-Beck & Tien model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 51.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 48.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.6%. In comparison to numbers in the Lewis-Beck & Tien model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.5 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. The results of the Lewis-Beck & Tien model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.