In the latest update, the combined PollyVote concludes that Clinton will obtain 52.9% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47.1% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.
According to the econometric models Trump is currently ahead by 50.4%.
Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expectation polls with a vote share of 53.3% for Clinton. With a vote share of 49.6% the econometric models differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.
In comparison to the predictions for previous elections the vote share for the Democrats is especially high with 53.3% in expectation polls. Since 1996 they had not gained so many votes at this time during the course of the election. At that time, expectation polls expected a vote share of 54.1% for Democratic candidate.