Bio-index model: Clinton with clear lead

The Bio-index model is captured in the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.6% for Clinton, and 40.4% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. As a result, don't be too confident the results of an individual index model. At the very least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 54.2%. This value is 5.4 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Bio-index index model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 6.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.