The Issue-index model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 56.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 43.4%.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models can contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other index models
An average of recent index models sees Clinton at 54.2% of the two-party vote. This value is 2.4 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Issue-index index model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.1% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Issue-index model.