The Pollyvote team has completed another survey of elections experts to forecast the presidential election. The experts were asked to predict the candidates’ final vote shares at the national level.
The expert survey was conducted between August 29 and August 31. The sample size was 13 scientists from a variety of colleges and universities. The experts’ average forecast is that Clinton will garner 53.5% of the national major-party vote.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the expert survey result.