The Lockerbie model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 50.4% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 49.6%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.6%. This value is 0.8 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Lockerbie model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.1% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lockerbie model.