The Fiscal model model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 48.2% for Clinton, and 51.8% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 50.4% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. Compared to numbers in the Fiscal model model Trump's econometric model average is 1.4 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 46.9% of the two-party vote. The results of the Fiscal model model for Trump are thus 4.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.