Dead heat between Clinton and Trump in latest Keys to the White House index model

The Keys to the White House model enters the index models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.5% for Clinton, and 48.5% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single index models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other index models

An average of recent index models has Clinton at 54.2% of the two-party vote. Compared to numbers in the Keys to the White House index model Clinton's index model average is 2.7 percentage points better.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Keys to the White House model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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