The Bio-index model is captured in the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 59.6% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 40.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single index models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single index models, you should consult combined index models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Results in comparison to other index models
Clinton can currently count on 54.2% of the two-party vote in an average of recent index models. In comparison to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.4 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 6.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.