The Lewis-Beck & Tien model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 51.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 48.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.5% of the two-party vote. This value is 1.6 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.
The Lewis-Beck & Tien model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.