The Trial-heat model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton, and 47.9% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Clinton is currently at 49.5% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. Compared to numbers in the Trial-heat model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.6 percentage points worse.
The Trial-heat model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.2% of the two-party vote. The results of the Trial-heat model for Clinton are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.