Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.5%. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.6 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

The Jérôme & Jérôme model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.2% and Trump 46.8% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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