The Issue-index model enters the index models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 56.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 43.4%.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models often incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
Clinton is currently at 54.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Relative to numbers in the Issue-index index model Clinton's index model average is 2.4 percentage points worse.
The Issue-index model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Issue-index model.