Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they can contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 49.5% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.6 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.4% and Trump 46.6% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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