The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 48.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 51.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they can include large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 50.5%. In comparison to numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 1.4 percentage points worse.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 46.6% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.