The Lewis-Beck & Tien model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.1% for Clinton, and 48.9% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton can currently count on 49.2% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. This value is 1.9 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.