The Jérôme & Jérôme model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they often contain large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.2%. When compared to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.9 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.
The Jérôme & Jérôme model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% and Trump 46.5% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.