Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they often contain large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.2%. When compared to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.9 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

The Jérôme & Jérôme model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.5% and Trump 46.5% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.