Fiscal model model shows Trump in the lead

The Fiscal model model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 48.2% for Clinton, and 51.8% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Trump currently runs at 50.8% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the Fiscal model model Trump's econometric model average is 1 percentage point lower.

The Fiscal model model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Fiscal model model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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