The Fiscal model model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 48.2% for Clinton, and 51.8% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 50.8% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the Fiscal model model Trump's econometric model average is 1 percentage point lower.
The Fiscal model model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Fiscal model model.