The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 48.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 51.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 50.9% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. Relative to numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 1 percentage point lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.