Bio-index model: Clinton with clear lead

The Bio-index model is captured in the index models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 59.6% for Clinton, and 40.4% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include large biases. Instead of relying on results from single index models, you should look at combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other index models

Clinton currently achieves 54.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.4 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 6.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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