The 538 (polls-plus) model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 52.2% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 47.8%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 49.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. Compared to numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model Clinton's econometric model average is 3.1 percentage points worse.
The 538 (polls-plus) model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.