The Time-for-change model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 48.6% for Clinton, and 51.4% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 50.8% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. Relative to numbers in the Time-for-change model Trump's econometric model average is 0.6 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Time-for-change model for Trump are thus 4.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.