Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck in latest Vox.Com model

The Vox.Com model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 49.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 50.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 50.8%. Compared to numbers in the Vox.Com model Trump's econometric model average is 0.1 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 46.5% of the two-party vote. The results of the Vox.Com model for Trump are thus 4.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.