Bio-index model shows Clinton in the lead

The Bio-index model is part of the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 59.6% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 40.4%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. In general, don't be overly confident the results of a single index model. At the very least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other index models

An average of recent index models sees Clinton at 54.1% of the two-party vote. Relative to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.5 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 6.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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