The Pollyvote team has completed another survey of elections experts to forecast the presidential election. The experts were asked to predict the candidates’ final vote shares at the national level.
The expert survey was conducted from July 29 to July 31 among 12 academics from a variety of colleges and universities. The experts’ mean prediction is that Clinton will win with 52.7% of the national major-party vote.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the expert survey result.