Clinton and Trump virtually tied in latest Keys to the White House index model

The Keys to the White House model is included in the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.5% for Clinton, and 48.5% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be interpreted with caution, as they may contain large biases. At the very least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other index models

If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 54.1%. Compared to numbers in the Keys to the White House index model Clinton's index model average is 2.6 percentage points higher.

The Keys to the White House model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Keys to the White House model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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