Bio-index model: Trump trails by a clear margin

The Bio-index model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 59.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 40.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models may contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other index models

An average of recent index models sees Clinton at 54.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 5.5 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Bio-index index model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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