The Vox.Com model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 49.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 50.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump currently achieves 50.8% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. This value is 0.1 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Vox.Com model.
The Vox.Com model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 46.3% of the two-party vote. The results of the Vox.Com model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.