Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

The Jérôme & Jérôme model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each win 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can contain substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 49.2% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.9 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.7% and Trump 46.3% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.