The Issue-index model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 43.8%.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models often contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other index models
Clinton is currently at 54.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent index models. This value is 2.1 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Issue-index index model.
The Issue-index model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 2.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.