Bio-index model shows Clinton in the lead

The Bio-index model is part of the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 59.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 40.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single index models may incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other index models

Clinton currently runs at 54.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent index models. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 5.5 percentage points worse.

The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the Bio-index model for Clinton are thus 5.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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