The 538 (polls-plus) model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 47.8%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.2%. This value is 3 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.