Putting the results in context

RCP published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

In Ohio, the popular vote is usually close. This is why the state is commonly regarded as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

This poll was conducted , among a random sample of 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, you should not rely too much on the results of a single poll. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 47.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Results in comparison to other polls

Clinton is currently at 47.2% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Ohio. Clinton currently achieves 47.2% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Ohio. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Ohio.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 48.0% of the two-party vote in Ohio. That is, Polly's prediction is 0.8 points above polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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