Putting the results in context

RCP released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Pennsylvania were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

The poll was carried out among 0 participants.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Pennsylvania polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 44.8%. Clinton is currently at 44.8% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Pennsylvania. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Pennsylvania.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 45.5% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. That is, the combined PollyVote is 0.7 points above polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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