Trump and Clinton virtually tied in latest Vox.Com model

The Vox.Com model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 49.1% for Clinton, and 50.9% for Trump. In comparison, on August 26 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 50.8%. This value is 0.1 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Vox.Com model.

The Vox.Com model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 46.4% of the two-party vote. The results of the Vox.Com model for Trump are thus 4.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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