Putting the results in context

RCP published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

In Ohio, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly viewed as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

The poll was conducted . A total of 0 participants responded.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be treated with caution, as they can contain large biases. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 47.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Ohio polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 47.2%. Looking at an average of Ohio polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 47.2%. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Ohio.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Ohio. This means that the combined PollyVote is 4.9 points above polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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