RCP published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Ohio were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
In Ohio, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly viewed as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
RCP poll results
The poll was conducted . A total of 0 participants responded.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be treated with caution, as they can contain large biases. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 47.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
Looking at an average of Ohio polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 47.2%. Looking at an average of Ohio polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 47.2%. The values are thus identical to the average results of other polls in Ohio.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Ohio. This means that the combined PollyVote is 4.9 points above polling numbers.